MIDiA Research and Omdia analysts forecast physical games shifting to download vouchers by 2030
According to cnBeta, MIDiA Research and Omdia analysts forecast that physical game media could shift to download vouchers by 2030, with physical packaging retained but media delivered as vouchers. Sony plans to end disc production in 2028, while Omdia projects that in 2026 Nintendo platform full game purchases will still have a slightly under-40% share in physical form. The analysis also notes that Switch 2 key cards aim to lower per-copy costs and allow post-launch lending and resale, and discusses ownership considerations such as offline play, transferability, and long-term access.
Key facts
- 01According to cnBeta, the shift from physical discs to download vouchers for games could happen by 2030, with physical packaging retained but media delivered as vouchers.
- 02cnBeta reports Sony plans to end disc production in 2028, though new PlayStation games will still be sold via retail in digital form.
- 03Omdia projects that in 2026, physical games will still account for slightly under 40% of full-game purchases on Nintendo platforms.
- 04cnBeta notes Switch 2 cartridge costs are high and key cards could reduce per-copy costs and enable post-launch price adjustments.
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